A Major, Major Warning

American Spectator:

Political analyst Charlie Cook delivers bad news for the Dems.  According to Politico:

Charlie Cook, one of the best political handicappers in the business, sent out a special update to Cook Political Report subscribers Thursday that should send shivers down Democratic spines.

Reviewing recent polling and the 2010 election landscape, Cook can envision a scenario in which Democratic House losses could exceed 20 seats.

"These data confirm anecdotal evidence, and our own view, that the situation this summer has slipped completely out of control for President Obama and Congressional Democrats. Today, The Cook Political Report's Congressional election model, based on individual races, is pointing toward a net Democratic loss of between six and 12 seats, but our sense, factoring in macro-political dynamics is that this is far too low," he wrote.

"Many veteran Congressional election watchers, including Democratic ones, report an eerie sense of déjà vu, with a consensus forming that the chances of Democratic losses going higher than 20 seats is just as good as the chances of Democratic losses going lower than 20 seats.

Given that this report is made public, I wouldn't be at all surprised if the actual data shows more than 20 seats lost.  Given that this kind of reversal has happened in just six months, I personally think they'll be lucky to lose only 20 seats.  If Obama keeps pushing horrendously damaging and tremendously unpopular spending bills and 're-making' projects, the sky is the limit.  The only thing that could save Obama is if the economy begins -- however sluggishly -- to recover.  Given the policies Obama has already enacted, and given his clear signals to raise taxes, that seems unlikely.

 

But hey, Americans are incredible people.  We can overcome anything, even our own President.

 

There's my two cents.